kbo광주

Kiwoom Heroes @ KIA Tigers

2m 34s

Kiwoom Heroes36%

KIA Tigers64%

Starting pitcher edge favors Kiwoom Heroes, but other factors tip the overall pick the other way.

KIA Tigers is favored at 64%, largely due to the stronger offense and a fresher bullpen, despite Kiwoom Heroes' starting pitcher having the better numbers.

Kiwoom Heroes39%

KIA Tigers61%

F5 · Projected score

Kiwoom Heroes

1.6

–

KIA Tigers

2.2

Projected total runs

Leans under

6.9

-2.9 vs league avg 9.8

Projected score

Kiwoom Heroes

3.0

–

KIA Tigers

4.0

Model's expected runs per team, blended with recent head-to-head history.

Betting recommendations

Clear value bets our model sees in this specific game.

The model finds no clear value bets for this game.

Why 64%?

Each bar is that factor's share of the total explanatory signal — a bigger bar means it moved the model more than the others, not that it 'caused' that % of the win probability.

AwayKiwoom HeroesKIA TigersHome

Offense (wRC+)

51.2%

Starter matchup

29.3%

Bullpen (last 14d)

17.7%

Park & weather

1.8%

안우진

네일

RHP

3.48

ERA

0.00

2.05

FIP

0.00

1.23

WHIP

0.00

11.2

K/9

0.0

2.9

BB/9

0.0

—

L3 ERA

—

Days rest

—