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Samsung Lions @ Lotte Giants
Samsung Lions51%
Lotte Giants49%
Samsung Lions is favored at 51%, largely due to the stronger offense and a fresher bullpen, despite Lotte Giants' starting pitcher having the better numbers.
F5
Samsung Lions51%
Lotte Giants49%
F5 · Projected score
Samsung Lions
2.6
–
Lotte Giants
2.5
Projected total runs
Leans under9.1
-0.7 vs league avg 9.8
Projected score
Samsung Lions
4.6
–
Lotte Giants
4.5
Model's expected runs per team, blended with recent head-to-head history.
Betting recommendations
Clear value bets our model sees in this specific game.
The model finds no clear value bets for this game.
Why 51%?
Each bar is that factor's share of the total explanatory signal — a bigger bar means it moved the model more than the others, not that it 'caused' that % of the win probability.
AwaySamsung LionsLotte GiantsHome
Offense (wRC+)
52.2%
Bullpen (recent form)
26.7%
Starter matchup
15.6%
Park & weather
5.6%
최원태
나균안
RHP
RHP
4.55
ERA
4.23
—
FIP
—
1.38
WHIP
1.46
—
K/9
—
—
BB/9
—
—
L3 ERA
—
—
Days rest
—