lmbBetaToros Mobil Park

Olmecas de Tabasco @ Toros de Tijuana

Experimental league — several model inputs (bullpen form, weather, market odds, confirmed lineups) are unavailable here, so these predictions are markedly less reliable than MLB, KBO and NPB.

7h 52m 36s

Olmecas de Tabasco45%

Toros de Tijuana55%

Toros de Tijuana is favored at 55%, largely due to stronger starting pitching.

Olmecas de Tabasco42%

Toros de Tijuana58%

F5 · Projected score

Olmecas de Tabasco

2.1

–

Toros de Tijuana

2.5

Projected total runs

Leans under

8.3

-2.7 vs league avg 11.0

Projected score

Olmecas de Tabasco

3.7

–

Toros de Tijuana

4.6

Model's expected runs per team, blended with recent head-to-head history.

Betting recommendations

Clear value bets our model sees in this specific game.

The model finds no clear value bets for this game.

Why 55%?

Each bar is that factor's share of the total explanatory signal — a bigger bar means it moved the model more than the others, not that it 'caused' that % of the win probability.

AwayOlmecas de TabascoToros de TijuanaHome

Starter matchup

78.7%

Offense (wRC+)

14.9%

Park & weather

5.3%

Bullpen (recent form)

1.1%

Jeremy Rhoades

Adonis Medina

RHP

3.54

ERA

2.86

4.11

FIP

2.97

1.29

WHIP

1.13

7.2

K/9

8.8

3.7

BB/9

2.5

—

L3 ERA

—

Days rest

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