mlbRate Field

Detroit Tigers @ Chicago White Sox

6h 11m 04s

Detroit Tigers43%

Chicago White Sox57%

Chicago White Sox is favored at 57%, largely due to stronger starting pitching and a fresher bullpen.

Detroit Tigers42%

Chicago White Sox58%

F5 · Projected score

Detroit Tigers

2.3

–

Chicago White Sox

2.7

Projected total runs

Near league average

8.9

-0.1 vs league avg 9.0

Projected score

Detroit Tigers

4.0

–

Chicago White Sox

4.9

Model's expected runs per team, blended with recent head-to-head history.

Betting recommendations

Clear value bets our model sees in this specific game.

The model finds no clear value bets for this game.

Why 57%?

Each bar is that factor's share of the total explanatory signal — a bigger bar means it moved the model more than the others, not that it 'caused' that % of the win probability.

AwayDetroit TigersChicago White SoxHome

Starter matchup

48.8%

Bullpen (last 14d)

25.0%

Offense (wRC+)

20.0%

Park & weather

6.3%

Jackson Jobe

Sean Burke

RHP

3.89

ERA

3.47

4.91

FIP

3.68

1.27

WHIP

1.20

8.8

K/9

9.7

3.4

BB/9

3.2

—

L3 ERA

—

Days rest

—