mlbAngel Stadium

Minnesota Twins @ Los Angeles Angels

13h 39m 04s

Minnesota Twins47%

Los Angeles Angels53%

Los Angeles Angels is favored at 53%, largely due to stronger starting pitching.

Minnesota Twins47%

Los Angeles Angels53%

F5 · Projected score

Minnesota Twins

2.1

–

Los Angeles Angels

2.3

Projected total runs

Leans under

7.9

-1.1 vs league avg 9.0

Projected score

Minnesota Twins

3.8

–

Los Angeles Angels

4.1

Model's expected runs per team, blended with recent head-to-head history.

Betting recommendations

Clear value bets our model sees in this specific game.

The model finds no clear value bets for this game.

Why 53%?

Each bar is that factor's share of the total explanatory signal — a bigger bar means it moved the model more than the others, not that it 'caused' that % of the win probability.

AwayMinnesota TwinsLos Angeles AngelsHome

Starter matchup

48.1%

Offense (wRC+)

32.7%

Bullpen (last 14d)

19.2%

Park & weather

0.0%

Joe Ryan

Reid Detmers

RHP

LHP

3.84

ERA

3.36

3.74

FIP

3.09

1.16

WHIP

1.05

9.8

K/9

10.3

1.9

BB/9

2.4

—

L3 ERA

—

Days rest

—