mlbCoors Field

Seattle Mariners @ Colorado Rockies

12h 10m 02s

Seattle Mariners57%

Colorado Rockies43%

Seattle Mariners is favored at 57%, largely due to stronger starting pitching and a fresher bullpen.

Seattle Mariners57%

Colorado Rockies43%

F5 · Projected score

Seattle Mariners

2.9

–

Colorado Rockies

2.5

Projected total runs

Leans over

9.7

+0.7 vs league avg 9.0

Projected score

Seattle Mariners

5.3

–

Colorado Rockies

4.4

Model's expected runs per team, blended with recent head-to-head history.

Betting recommendations

Clear value bets our model sees in this specific game.

The model finds no clear value bets for this game.

Why 57%?

Each bar is that factor's share of the total explanatory signal — a bigger bar means it moved the model more than the others, not that it 'caused' that % of the win probability.

AwaySeattle MarinersColorado RockiesHome

Starter matchup

45.3%

Bullpen (last 14d)

44.2%

Offense (wRC+)

8.1%

Park & weather

2.3%

Bryce Miller

Jose Quintana

RHP

LHP

4.19

ERA

5.27

4.60

FIP

5.39

1.16

WHIP

1.51

8.9

K/9

4.4

2.9

BB/9

3.7

—

L3 ERA

—

Days rest

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