mlbGlobe Life Field

Toronto Blue Jays @ Texas Rangers

11h 6m 14s

Toronto Blue Jays46%

Texas Rangers54%

Texas Rangers is favored at 54%, largely due to stronger starting pitching and the stronger offense.

Toronto Blue Jays46%

Texas Rangers54%

F5 · Projected score

Toronto Blue Jays

2.1

–

Texas Rangers

2.4

Projected total runs

Leans under

8.2

-0.8 vs league avg 9.0

Projected score

Toronto Blue Jays

3.9

–

Texas Rangers

4.3

Model's expected runs per team, blended with recent head-to-head history.

Betting recommendations

Clear value bets our model sees in this specific game.

The model finds no clear value bets for this game.

Why 54%?

Each bar is that factor's share of the total explanatory signal — a bigger bar means it moved the model more than the others, not that it 'caused' that % of the win probability.

AwayToronto Blue JaysTexas RangersHome

Starter matchup

42.6%

Offense (wRC+)

27.9%

Bullpen (last 14d)

26.2%

Park & weather

3.3%

José Soriano

Cal Quantrill

RHP

4.27

ERA

2.90

4.06

FIP

4.07

1.32

WHIP

1.05

6.2

K/9

6.7

2.9

BB/9

2.1

—

L3 ERA

—

Days rest

—