mlbOracle Park

Los Angeles Angels @ San Francisco Giants

16h 46m 13s

Los Angeles Angels44%

San Francisco Giants56%

San Francisco Giants is favored at 56%, largely due to a fresher bullpen and the stronger offense.

Los Angeles Angels46%

San Francisco Giants54%

F5 · Projected score

Los Angeles Angels

2.1

–

San Francisco Giants

2.4

Projected total runs

Leans under

8.1

-0.9 vs league avg 9.0

Projected score

Los Angeles Angels

3.9

–

San Francisco Giants

4.3

Model's expected runs per team, blended with recent head-to-head history.

Betting recommendations

Clear value bets our model sees in this specific game.

The model finds no clear value bets for this game.

Why 56%?

Each bar is that factor's share of the total explanatory signal — a bigger bar means it moved the model more than the others, not that it 'caused' that % of the win probability.

AwayLos Angeles AngelsSan Francisco GiantsHome

Bullpen (last 14d)

78.8%

Park & weather

15.2%

Offense (wRC+)

6.1%

Starter matchup

0.0%

Ryan Johnson

Robbie Ray

RHP

LHP

6.10

ERA

3.33

6.31

FIP

4.64

1.43

WHIP

1.30

7.0

K/9

7.8

3.8

BB/9

4.4

—

L3 ERA

—

Days rest

—