mlbGlobe Life Field

Seattle Mariners @ Texas Rangers

14h 38m 34s

Seattle Mariners55%

Texas Rangers45%

Seattle Mariners is favored at 55%, largely due to a fresher bullpen and park and weather conditions.

Seattle Mariners52%

Texas Rangers48%

F5 · Projected score

Seattle Mariners

2.6

–

Texas Rangers

2.5

Projected total runs

Leans over

9.3

+0.3 vs league avg 9.0

Projected score

Seattle Mariners

4.8

–

Texas Rangers

4.5

Model's expected runs per team, blended with recent head-to-head history.

Betting recommendations

Clear value bets our model sees in this specific game.

The model finds no clear value bets for this game.

Why 55%?

Each bar is that factor's share of the total explanatory signal — a bigger bar means it moved the model more than the others, not that it 'caused' that % of the win probability.

AwaySeattle MarinersTexas RangersHome

Bullpen (last 14d)

80.0%

Park & weather

8.2%

Starter matchup

6.4%

Offense (wRC+)

5.5%

Bryan Woo

Nathan Eovaldi

RHP

4.16

ERA

4.21

3.27

FIP

4.40

1.09

WHIP

1.21

8.9

K/9

9.5

1.8

BB/9

2.2

—

L3 ERA

—

Days rest

—