npbベルーナドーム

SoftBank Hawks @ Saitama Seibu Lions

SoftBank Hawks51%

Saitama Seibu Lions49%

SoftBank Hawks is favored at 51%, largely due to the stronger offense and a fresher bullpen, despite Saitama Seibu Lions' starting pitcher having the better numbers.

SoftBank Hawks51%

Saitama Seibu Lions49%

F5 · Projected score

SoftBank Hawks

2.2

–

Saitama Seibu Lions

2.1

Projected total runs

Near league average

7.7

+0.1 vs league avg 7.6

Projected score

SoftBank Hawks

3.8

–

Saitama Seibu Lions

3.8

Model's expected runs per team, blended with recent head-to-head history.

Tipsters: 54% Saitama Seibu Lions (2 sites)

Betting recommendations

Clear value bets our model sees in this specific game.

The model finds no clear value bets for this game.

Why 51%?

Each bar is that factor's share of the total explanatory signal — a bigger bar means it moved the model more than the others, not that it 'caused' that % of the win probability.

AwaySoftBank HawksSaitama Seibu LionsHome

Offense (wRC+)

60.0%

Starter matchup

28.0%

Bullpen (last 14d)

9.0%

Park & weather

3.0%

上茶谷大河

渡邉勇太朗

—

2.25

ERA

3.28

4.55

FIP

3.27

1.30

WHIP

1.14

7.9

K/9

6.7

3.4

BB/9

2.7

—

L3 ERA

—

Days rest

—