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Hokkaido Nippon-Ham Fighters @ Saitama Seibu Lions

9h 40m 20s

Hokkaido Nippon-Ham Fighters48%

Saitama Seibu Lions52%

Saitama Seibu Lions is favored at 52%, largely due to the stronger offense and stronger starting pitching.

Projected total runs

Near league average

7.6

0.0 vs league avg 7.6

Projected score

Hokkaido Nippon-Ham Fighters

3.7

–

Saitama Seibu Lions

3.9

Model's expected runs per team, blended with recent head-to-head history.

Tipsters: 71% Saitama Seibu Lions (2 sites)

Why 52%?

Each bar is that factor's share of the total explanatory signal — a bigger bar means it moved the model more than the others, not that it 'caused' that % of the win probability.

AwayHokkaido Nippon-Ham FightersSaitama Seibu LionsHome

Offense (wRC+)

81.8%

Starter matchup

9.1%

Park & weather

9.1%

Bullpen (last 14d)

0.0%

北山亘基

隅田知一郎

—

LHP

2.15

ERA

2.27

—

FIP

—

0.94

WHIP

0.92

8.6

K/9

8.4

2.2

BB/9

1.1

—

L3 ERA

—

Days rest

—