npb京セラD大阪

Chiba Lotte Marines @ Orix Buffaloes

19h 29m 30s

Chiba Lotte Marines35%

Orix Buffaloes65%

Orix Buffaloes is favored at 65%, largely due to stronger starting pitching and a fresher bullpen.

Chiba Lotte Marines39%

Orix Buffaloes61%

F5 · Projected score

Chiba Lotte Marines

1.9

–

Orix Buffaloes

2.5

Projected total runs

Leans over

7.9

+0.3 vs league avg 7.6

Projected score

Chiba Lotte Marines

3.4

–

Orix Buffaloes

4.5

Model's expected runs per team, blended with recent head-to-head history.

Betting recommendations

Clear value bets our model sees in this specific game.

The model finds no clear value bets for this game.

Why 65%?

Each bar is that factor's share of the total explanatory signal — a bigger bar means it moved the model more than the others, not that it 'caused' that % of the win probability.

AwayChiba Lotte MarinesOrix BuffaloesHome

Starter matchup

71.9%

Bullpen (last 14d)

18.2%

Offense (wRC+)

9.9%

Park & weather

0.0%

廣池康志郎

s.ジェリー

—

4.00

ERA

0.00

3.82

FIP

—

1.26

WHIP

0.00

6.4

K/9

0.0

2.3

BB/9

0.0

—

L3 ERA

—

Days rest

—