npbエスコンＦ

Tohoku Rakuten Golden Eagles @ Hokkaido Nippon-Ham Fighters

19h 29m 30s

Tohoku Rakuten Golden Eagles35%

Hokkaido Nippon-Ham Fighters65%

Hokkaido Nippon-Ham Fighters is favored at 65%, largely due to the stronger offense and stronger starting pitching.

Tohoku Rakuten Golden Eagles39%

Hokkaido Nippon-Ham Fighters61%

F5 · Projected score

Tohoku Rakuten Golden Eagles

2.0

–

Hokkaido Nippon-Ham Fighters

2.6

Projected total runs

Leans over

8.4

+0.8 vs league avg 7.6

Projected score

Tohoku Rakuten Golden Eagles

3.6

–

Hokkaido Nippon-Ham Fighters

4.8

Model's expected runs per team, blended with recent head-to-head history.

Betting recommendations

Clear value bets our model sees in this specific game.

The model finds no clear value bets for this game.

Why 65%?

Each bar is that factor's share of the total explanatory signal — a bigger bar means it moved the model more than the others, not that it 'caused' that % of the win probability.

AwayTohoku Rakuten Golden EaglesHokkaido Nippon-Ham FightersHome

Offense (wRC+)

47.7%

Starter matchup

43.9%

Bullpen (last 14d)

4.5%

Park & weather

3.8%

荘司康誠

加藤貴之

—

LHP

4.25

ERA

2.63

3.91

FIP

3.67

1.25

WHIP

0.95

9.9

K/9

4.5

2.6

BB/9

0.6

—

L3 ERA

—

Days rest

—