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Yokohama DeNA BayStars @ Chunichi Dragons

Yokohama DeNA BayStars49%

Chunichi Dragons51%

Chunichi Dragons is favored at 51%, despite Yokohama DeNA BayStars' starting pitcher having the better numbers.

Yokohama DeNA BayStars50%

Chunichi Dragons50%

F5 · Projected score

Yokohama DeNA BayStars

2.2

–

Chunichi Dragons

2.2

Projected total runs

Leans over

8.0

+0.4 vs league avg 7.6

Projected score

Yokohama DeNA BayStars

4.0

–

Chunichi Dragons

4.0

Model's expected runs per team, blended with recent head-to-head history.

Tipsters: 52% Chunichi Dragons (3 sites)

Betting recommendations

Clear value bets our model sees in this specific game.

The model finds no clear value bets for this game.

Why 51%?

Each bar is that factor's share of the total explanatory signal — a bigger bar means it moved the model more than the others, not that it 'caused' that % of the win probability.

AwayYokohama DeNA BayStarsChunichi DragonsHome

Offense (wRC+)

75.0%

Bullpen (last 14d)

22.2%

Starter matchup

2.8%

Park & weather

0.0%

東

柳

—

ERA

—

FIP

—

WHIP

—

K/9

—

BB/9

—

L3 ERA

—

Days rest

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