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Yokohama DeNA BayStars @ Chunichi Dragons

19h 30m 34s

Yokohama DeNA BayStars54%

Chunichi Dragons46%

Yokohama DeNA BayStars is favored at 54%, largely due to stronger starting pitching and the stronger offense.

Yokohama DeNA BayStars53%

Chunichi Dragons47%

F5 · Projected score

Yokohama DeNA BayStars

1.9

–

Chunichi Dragons

1.8

Projected total runs

Leans under

6.7

-0.9 vs league avg 7.6

Projected score

Yokohama DeNA BayStars

3.5

–

Chunichi Dragons

3.2

Model's expected runs per team, blended with recent head-to-head history.

Betting recommendations

Clear value bets our model sees in this specific game.

The model finds no clear value bets for this game.

Why 54%?

Each bar is that factor's share of the total explanatory signal — a bigger bar means it moved the model more than the others, not that it 'caused' that % of the win probability.

AwayYokohama DeNA BayStarsChunichi DragonsHome

Starter matchup

50.5%

Offense (wRC+)

26.3%

Bullpen (last 14d)

12.6%

Park & weather

10.5%

o.ビド

涌井秀章

—

0.00

ERA

2.73

—

FIP

3.32

0.00

WHIP

1.28

0.0

K/9

6.1

0.0

BB/9

0.6

—

L3 ERA

—

Days rest

—