npbほっと神戸

Saitama Seibu Lions @ Orix Buffaloes

14h 17m 30s

Saitama Seibu Lions46%

Orix Buffaloes54%

Orix Buffaloes is favored at 54%, largely due to stronger starting pitching and park and weather conditions.

Saitama Seibu Lions48%

Orix Buffaloes52%

F5 · Projected score

Saitama Seibu Lions

2.2

–

Orix Buffaloes

2.4

Projected total runs

Leans over

8.2

+0.6 vs league avg 7.6

Projected score

Saitama Seibu Lions

4.0

–

Orix Buffaloes

4.3

Model's expected runs per team, blended with recent head-to-head history.

Tipsters: 55% Saitama Seibu Lions (2 sites)

Betting recommendations

Clear value bets our model sees in this specific game.

The model finds no clear value bets for this game.

Why 54%?

Each bar is that factor's share of the total explanatory signal — a bigger bar means it moved the model more than the others, not that it 'caused' that % of the win probability.

AwaySaitama Seibu LionsOrix BuffaloesHome

Starter matchup

35.3%

Tipster consensus

Only counted when tipsters and the market disagree by at least 5 percentage points and we have ≥2 tipster sources.

23.5%

Bullpen (recent form)

17.6%

Park & weather

11.8%

Offense (wRC+)

5.9%

Market consensus

5.9%

佐藤爽

髙島泰都

LHP

—

3.79

ERA

—

4.54

FIP

—

1.11

WHIP

—

5.7

K/9

—

2.4

BB/9

—

L3 ERA

—

Days rest

—