npbエスコンＦ

Orix Buffaloes @ Hokkaido Nippon-Ham Fighters

16h 59m 23s

Orix Buffaloes40%

Hokkaido Nippon-Ham Fighters60%

Hokkaido Nippon-Ham Fighters is favored at 60%, largely due to the stronger offense and stronger starting pitching.

Orix Buffaloes44%

Hokkaido Nippon-Ham Fighters56%

F5 · Projected score

Orix Buffaloes

2.1

–

Hokkaido Nippon-Ham Fighters

2.4

Projected total runs

Leans over

8.3

+0.7 vs league avg 7.6

Projected score

Orix Buffaloes

3.8

–

Hokkaido Nippon-Ham Fighters

4.5

Model's expected runs per team, blended with recent head-to-head history.

Betting recommendations

Clear value bets our model sees in this specific game.

The model finds no clear value bets for this game.

Why 60%?

Each bar is that factor's share of the total explanatory signal — a bigger bar means it moved the model more than the others, not that it 'caused' that % of the win probability.

AwayOrix BuffaloesHokkaido Nippon-Ham FightersHome

Offense (wRC+)

63.4%

Starter matchup

30.5%

Bullpen (recent form)

3.7%

Park & weather

2.4%

髙島泰都

有原航平

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ERA

3.86

—

FIP

3.95

—

WHIP

1.26

—

K/9

6.3

—

BB/9

2.1

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L3 ERA

—

Days rest

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