npbZOZOマリン

Saitama Seibu Lions @ Chiba Lotte Marines

20h 57m 33s

Saitama Seibu Lions58%

Chiba Lotte Marines42%

Saitama Seibu Lions is favored at 59%, largely due to stronger starting pitching and the stronger offense.

Saitama Seibu Lions56%

Chiba Lotte Marines44%

F5 · Projected score

Saitama Seibu Lions

2.0

–

Chiba Lotte Marines

1.7

Projected total runs

Leans under

6.7

-0.9 vs league avg 7.6

Projected score

Saitama Seibu Lions

3.6

–

Chiba Lotte Marines

3.0

Model's expected runs per team, blended with recent head-to-head history.

Betting recommendations

Clear value bets our model sees in this specific game.

The model finds no clear value bets for this game.

Why 58%?

Each bar is that factor's share of the total explanatory signal — a bigger bar means it moved the model more than the others, not that it 'caused' that % of the win probability.

AwaySaitama Seibu LionsChiba Lotte MarinesHome

Starter matchup

94.4%

Offense (wRC+)

3.2%

Park & weather

1.6%

Bullpen (recent form)

0.8%

隅田知一郎

高野脩汰

LHP

2.21

ERA

2.88

2.58

FIP

3.77

0.94

WHIP

1.16

8.1

K/9

8.8

1.2

BB/9

2.9

—

L3 ERA

—

Days rest

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