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SoftBank Hawks @ Tohoku Rakuten Golden Eagles

 16h 57m 33s
SoftBank Hawks61%
Tohoku Rakuten Golden Eagles39%

SoftBank Hawks is favored at 61%, largely due to stronger starting pitching and the stronger offense.

F5
SoftBank Hawks58%
Tohoku Rakuten Golden Eagles42%

F5 · Projected score

SoftBank Hawks
2.5
Tohoku Rakuten Golden Eagles
2.0

Projected total runs

Leans over
8.0

+0.4 vs league avg 7.6

Projected score

SoftBank Hawks
4.4
Tohoku Rakuten Golden Eagles
3.6

Model's expected runs per team, blended with recent head-to-head history.

Betting recommendations

Clear value bets our model sees in this specific game.

The model finds no clear value bets for this game.
Why 61%?

Each bar is that factor's share of the total explanatory signal — a bigger bar means it moved the model more than the others, not that it 'caused' that % of the win probability.

AwaySoftBank HawksTohoku Rakuten Golden EaglesHome
Starter matchup
49.0%
Offense (wRC+)
46.4%
Bullpen (recent form)
4.0%
Park & weather
0.7%
大津 亮介
瀧中 瞭太
LHP
LHP
2.36
ERA
3.71
3.52
FIP
4.29
1.04
WHIP
1.32
7.2
K/9
4.9
1.7
BB/9
2.6
L3 ERA
Days rest