npb東京ドーム

Tokyo Yakult Swallows @ Yomiuri Giants

16h 56m 04s

Tokyo Yakult Swallows42%

Yomiuri Giants58%

Yomiuri Giants is favored at 58%, largely due to a fresher bullpen and the stronger offense.

Tokyo Yakult Swallows44%

Yomiuri Giants56%

F5 · Projected score

Tokyo Yakult Swallows

1.9

–

Yomiuri Giants

2.2

Projected total runs

Near league average

7.4

-0.2 vs league avg 7.6

Projected score

Tokyo Yakult Swallows

3.4

–

Yomiuri Giants

4.0

Model's expected runs per team, blended with recent head-to-head history.

Betting recommendations

Clear value bets our model sees in this specific game.

The model finds no clear value bets for this game.

Why 58%?

Each bar is that factor's share of the total explanatory signal — a bigger bar means it moved the model more than the others, not that it 'caused' that % of the win probability.

AwayTokyo Yakult SwallowsYomiuri GiantsHome

Bullpen (recent form)

44.4%

Offense (wRC+)

32.1%

Park & weather

12.3%

Starter matchup

11.1%

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ERA

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FIP

—

WHIP

—

K/9

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BB/9

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L3 ERA

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Days rest

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