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SoftBank Hawks @ Yokohama DeNA BayStars

 5h 33m 31s
SoftBank Hawks48%
Yokohama DeNA BayStars52%

Yokohama DeNA BayStars is favored at 52%, largely due to stronger starting pitching.

F5
SoftBank Hawks48%
Yokohama DeNA BayStars52%

F5 · Projected score

SoftBank Hawks
2.3
–
Yokohama DeNA BayStars
2.5

Projected total runs

Leans over
8.6

+1.0 vs league avg 7.6

Projected score

SoftBank Hawks
4.2
–
Yokohama DeNA BayStars
4.4

Model's expected runs per team, blended with recent head-to-head history.

Betting recommendations

Clear value bets our model sees in this specific game.

The model finds no clear value bets for this game.
Why 52%?

Each bar is that factor's share of the total explanatory signal — a bigger bar means it moved the model more than the others, not that it 'caused' that % of the win probability.

AwaySoftBank HawksYokohama DeNA BayStarsHome
Offense (wRC+)
56.8%
Starter matchup
39.8%
Bullpen (recent form)
2.3%
Park & weather
1.1%
L.モイネロ
尾形 崇斗
—
—
—
ERA
3.29
—
FIP
3.91
—
WHIP
1.16
—
K/9
9.0
—
BB/9
3.9
—
L3 ERA
—
—
Days rest
—