Results
Every finished game we've captured, with final score and prediction context when available. Full history is kept.
Our performance
Brier score
0.246
Below 0.25 beats a coin flip
Predictions tracked
999
Since
Total runs accuracy
Avg. miss (runs)
3.82
Lower is better · n=999
Over/Under hit rate
—
No market lines to grade yet
Calibration
Bucket
Predicted
Actual
Games
50–60%
54%
57%
822
60–70%
63%
62%
152
70–80%
74%
65%
17
80%+
83%
38%
8
Historical Pro Picks replay
n=50/55
Market
Actual
Ø odds
Games
F5 moneyline
69%
1.72
36
Total under
64%
1.89
14
All
68%
1.78
50
Historical replay ROI +25% · flat 1-unit stakes, settled picks with recorded odds
Reconstructed from stored rows. Only games where the prediction was calculated before first pitch AND an odds snapshot existed before first pitch are included. This is a historical replay, not live or prospective performance.
Prospective Pro Picks
—
Picks frozen before first pitch in an immutable ledger. This is the only forward-looking record.
Collecting evidence
Match history
Every finished game we captured, newest first.